Free Probability 02 Practice Test - 12th Grade - Commerce 

Question 1

A random variable X has the following probability distribution
XP(X=x)XP(X=x)0λ511λ13λ613λ25λ715λ37λ817λ49λ
then, λ is equal to 
 

A. 181
B. 281
C. 581
D. 781

SOLUTION

Solution : A

8x=0P(X)=1P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)+P(7)+P(8)=1=λ+3λ+5λ+7λ+9λ+11λ+13λ+15λ+17λ=192(λ+17λ)=181λ=1λ=181

Question 2

A man is known to speak truth is 75% cases.  If he throws an unbiased die and tells his friend that it is a six, then the probability that it is actually a six, is

A. 16
B. 18
C. 34
D. 38

SOLUTION

Solution : D

Let E denote the event that a six occurs and A be the event theat the man reports that it is a six.  We have P(E)=16,P(E)=56,P(AE)=34 and P(AE)=14. By Baye’s theorem
P(EA)=P(E).P(AE)P(E).P(AE)+P(E).P(AE)=(16)(34)(16)(34)+(56)(14)=38
 

Question 3

Seven coupons are selected at random one at a time with replacement from 15 coupons numbered 1 to 15. The probability that the largest number appearing on a selected coupon is 9, is

A. (916)6
B. (815)7
C. (35)7
D. (35)7(815)7

SOLUTION

Solution : D

Each coupon can be selected in 15 ways. The total number of ways of choosing 7 copouns is 157. If largest number is 9, then the selected numbers have to be from 1 to 9 excluding those consisting of only 1 to 8.
Probability desired is 9787157
=(35)7(815)7

Question 4

Team A plays with 5 other teams exactly once. Assuming that for each match the probabilities of a win, draw and loss are equal, then

A. The probability that A wins and loses equal number of matches is 3481
B. The probability that A wins and loses equal number of matches is 1781
C. The probability that A wins more number of matches than it loses is 1781
D. The probability that A loses more number of matches than it wins is 1681

SOLUTION

Solution : B

Probability of equal number of W and L is the probability of following 
(0)W,(0)L +(1)W,(1)L+(2)W, (2)L
=(13)5+5C1.4C1(13)5+5C2.3C2(13)5=1781

Question 5

The probabilities of three mutually exclusive events A, B, C are given by 23,14, and 16 respectively. This statement

A. Is true
B. is false
C. nothing can be said
D. could be either

SOLUTION

Solution : B

Since the events A,B,C are mutually exclusive,  we have
P(ABC)=23+14+16=1312>0 
Which is not possible , hence the statement is false.

Question 6

Two events A and B have the probabilities 0.25 and 0.5 respectively.  The probability that both A and B simultaneously is 0.12.  then the probability that neither A and nor B occurs is

A. 0.13
B. 0.38
C. 0.63
D. 0.37

SOLUTION

Solution : D

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)=0.25+0.50.12=0.63
Therefore required probability  = 1 - P(A intersection B) = 0.37

Question 7

If (1+4p)4,(1p)2,and (12p)2 are the probabilities of three mutually exclusive events , then the value of p is

A. 12
B. 13
C. 14
D. 15

SOLUTION

Solution : A

1+4p4,1p2,12p2 are the probabilities of three mutually exclusive events. 


01+4pp1,01p21

012p21and0(1+4p4)+(1p2)+12p21

14p341p1,12p12andp52


p=12

Question 8

A father has three children with at least one boy.  The probability that he has two boys and one girl is

A. 14
B. 37
C. 13
D. 25

SOLUTION

Solution : B

Let A be the event that father has at least one boy and B be the event that he has 2boys and one girl.
P(A)=P(1boy,2girl)+P(2boy,1girl)+P(3boy,nogirl)=3C1+3C2+3C323=78
P(AB)=P(2 boy,1 girl)=38
Hence P(BA)=P(AB)P(A)=37.

Question 9

A fair coin is tossed n times and let X denotes the number of heads obtained. If P(X = 4), P(X = 5), and P(X = 6) are in A.P., then n is equal to

A. Only 7
B. 14
C. 7 or 14
D. 8

SOLUTION

Solution : B and C

Probability of r successes in n trials is equal to nCrprqnr, where p is the probability of success in one trial and q is the probability of failure in one trial. 
This means nC4(12)n,nC5(12)n,nC6(12)n are A.P.
2×nC5=nC4+nC6
2×n!(n5)!5!=n!(n4)!4!+n!(n6)!!
6×5+(n4)(n5)=2×6(n4)
n29n+50=2(6n24)
n221n+98=0
n=7 or n=14.

Question 10

One hundred identical coins, each with probability p  of showing up heads are tossed once. If 0 < p < 1 and the probability of heads showing 50 coins is equal to that head showing 51 coins, then  the value of p is

A. 12
B. 49101
C. 50101
D. 51101

SOLUTION

Solution : D

Let P1 and P2 be the respectively be the probability of heads showing 50 coins and head showing 51 coins P1=100C50 p50(1p)50 and P2=100C51 p51(1p)49
Given P1=P2
100C50 p50(1p)50=100C51 p51(1p)49
1pp=5051p=51101.